Projects

Selected valuation & research work

Each project below is a full analytical build — assumptions, model, and the resulting investment read. Click any card for the detail.

Valuation

Varda Space Industries

Private growth-equity valuation

Full three-method valuation of a Series C in-space manufacturing company, triangulated to a defensible range and cross-checked against the last funding round.

Bottom-up revenue buildDCFVC methodScenario analysis
M&A

Constellation × Calpine

$26.6bn M&A teardown

Teardown of a $26.6bn power-sector acquisition — deal structure, purchase multiple, the fixed-share exchange, and the FERC divestitures.

M&A analysisPrecedent transactions
Valuation

Exact Sciences

5-year DCF & sensitivity

Five-year DCF valuation with a full sensitivity analysis across the key value drivers — discount rate and terminal assumptions.

DCFSensitivity analysis
Sector Research

Energy + AI Data Centers

Sector deep dive

Sector thesis on power as the real bottleneck for AI: data-center demand tripling by 2030, gas as the near-term bridge, nuclear as the long-term bet.

Sector researchThesis-driven
Comps

Retail & Consumer Comps

Walmart · Costco · Target

Comps analysis explaining the multiple spread through scale advantages, the predictability of the membership model, and Target's margin pressure.

Comparable-company analysis
Sector Research

Deep-Tech & New Markets

Frontier private-name research

Industry research across frontier private names — Shield AI, Figure AI, Tenstorrent, Positron — and the prediction-markets space (Kalshi, Polymarket).

Industry researchMarket sizing