Varda Space Industries
Private growth-equity valuation
Full three-method valuation of a Series C in-space manufacturing company, triangulated to a defensible range and cross-checked against the last funding round.
Projects
Each project below is a full analytical build — assumptions, model, and the resulting investment read. Click any card for the detail.
Private growth-equity valuation
Full three-method valuation of a Series C in-space manufacturing company, triangulated to a defensible range and cross-checked against the last funding round.
$26.6bn M&A teardown
Teardown of a $26.6bn power-sector acquisition — deal structure, purchase multiple, the fixed-share exchange, and the FERC divestitures.
5-year DCF & sensitivity
Five-year DCF valuation with a full sensitivity analysis across the key value drivers — discount rate and terminal assumptions.
Sector deep dive
Sector thesis on power as the real bottleneck for AI: data-center demand tripling by 2030, gas as the near-term bridge, nuclear as the long-term bet.
Walmart · Costco · Target
Comps analysis explaining the multiple spread through scale advantages, the predictability of the membership model, and Target's margin pressure.
Frontier private-name research
Industry research across frontier private names — Shield AI, Figure AI, Tenstorrent, Positron — and the prediction-markets space (Kalshi, Polymarket).